Gentex Corporation (GNTX)

Trade Timeline

Risk Factors

• •Quality and long-term scores are only 40/100 with Tier 3 classification, so company-specific news can overwhelm typical dividend patterns.
• •ATR of 2.43 indicates meaningful short-term volatility, which can exceed the $0.12 dividend and impact short-horizon trades.
• •Historical win rates, while decent, are not overwhelming: 65.2% for the 1d buy / 14d sell strategy and ~54–60% for shorter windows, meaning a substantial chance of loss on any single trade.
• •Expected capture return of 1.58% and average capture yield of 0.875% are attractive but not extremely high relative to volatility, so adverse moves can negate the edge.
• •Medium overall confidence and Capture Score of 58/100 flag that the statistical edge is moderate, not robust.

Action Checklist

• 1.Confirm ex-dividend date (2026-01-07) and ensure the trading calendar around that period is accurate.
• 2.Plan entry for the trading day before ex-date (2026-01-06), ideally near the close, consistent with the Buy 1d strategy.
• 3.Size the position conservatively given ATR of 2.43 and Tier 3 / 40/100 quality and long-term scores.
• 4.Set a clear exit plan around 14 trading days after ex-date following the Buy 1d / Sell 14d pattern with 1.58% average return and 65.2% win rate.
• 5.Monitor price action closely during the post–ex-dividend period; consider taking profits early if return exceeds the expected 1.58% or if volatility spikes.
• 6.For long-term investors, treat GNTX as a satellite dividend position and regularly reassess business quality and dividend growth beyond the current 2.05% yield and 40/100 long-term score.