Primoris Services Corporation (PRIM)

Trade Timeline

Risk Factors

• •Very low dividend amount ($0.08, 0.25% yield) means most of the expected 2.06% return relies on price action, not the dividend itself.
• •5-day momentum slope is slightly negative (-0.0226%/day), which is not fully aligned with preferred positive short-term momentum, even though 20-day slope is positive (0.0147%/day).
• •ATR of 3.38% indicates meaningful short-term volatility; adverse moves can easily overwhelm the tiny dividend and distort capture outcomes.
• •Historical win rate for the recommended Buy 1d / Sell 7d strategy is solid but not dominant (68.1% over 69 samples), implying a non-trivial chance of loss.
• •Average recovery time of 29.8 days suggests that if the price drops more than usual around ex-date, you may need about a month to recover, which is longer than the 7-day exit horizon.

Action Checklist

• 1.Confirm the ex-dividend date of 2025-12-31 and verify no recent news or earnings that may alter volatility or trend.
• 2.Assess if PRIM fits your broader portfolio, remembering the forward yield is only 0.25% and not a strong income driver.
• 3.For capture: size the position assuming ATR of 3.38% so that a 1–2 ATR move does not exceed your risk limits.
• 4.Execute entry 1 trading day before ex-date (ideally near the close) to align with the Classic Capture Buy 1d / Sell 7d strategy.
• 5.Set a preliminary profit target around the historical 2.06% expected return and define a maximum loss threshold in advance.
• 6.Plan to exit 7 trading days after ex-date unless price hits your stop-loss or target sooner.
• 7.If the price drops more than expected and you choose not to exit on day 7, be prepared for a potential recovery horizon of about 30 days based on the 29.8-day average.
• 8.Review post-trade performance versus the historical stats (68.1% win rate, 100% 7–14 day gap fill) to refine future capture decisions.