Revvity, Inc. (RVTY)
Dividend Opportunity — Ex-Date Friday, January 16, 2026
Trade Timeline
Risk Factors
- •Very small dividend vs. price ($0.07 on $96.75) means the capture relies heavily on price behavior, not cash yield.
- •Historical win rate for the recommended strategy is only 61.0% with an Expected Return of 0.54%, so outcomes are modest and far from certain.
- •14-day ATR of 2.56% indicates daily price swings can easily overwhelm the 0.07 dividend, creating meaningful mark-to-market risk.
- •Average Recovery Days of 39.5 means that if the price drops more than expected, it may take over a month to recover, tying up capital.
- •20-day momentum slope is slightly negative (-0.0023%/day) and conflicts with the slightly positive 5-day slope (0.0025%/day), showing mixed trend signals.
- •MEDIUM confidence rating and Tier 3 quality underscore that this is a statistical edge at best, not a high-conviction trade.
Action Checklist
- 1.Confirm the ex-dividend date (2026-01-16) and payment date (2026-02-06) have not changed.
- 2.Size the position assuming only a modest statistical edge: limit exposure so a 2–3% adverse move (in line with 14-day ATR of 2.56%) is acceptable.
- 3.Plan entry near the close 1 trading day before ex-date, following the Classic Capture (buy 1d before / sell 7d after) scenario with 0.54% historical average return and 61.0% win rate.
- 4.Set a risk management level (e.g., max loss threshold or time stop) recognizing the average recovery period of 39.5 days if the price drops more than expected.
- 5.Monitor short-term momentum and volatility into ex-date; if ATR spikes significantly above 2.56% or price breaks sharply lower, consider reducing size or skipping the trade.
- 6.Avoid treating RVTY as a long-term dividend holding given the 0.29% yield, 40/100 Quality Score, and 40/100 Long-Term Score; reserve it for tactical use only if it fits your capture rules.
| Strategy | Avg Return | Win Rate | Historical Events |
|---|---|---|---|
Same-Day Buy 1 day before ex-date, sell 1 day after | +0.47% | 63% | 100 ex-dates |
Classic CaptureBest Buy 1 day before ex-date, sell 7 days after | +0.54% | 61% | 100 ex-dates |
14-Day Hold Buy 1 day before ex-date, sell 14 days after | +1.72% | 61% | 100 ex-dates |
Buy 14D, Sell 7D After Buy 14 days before ex-date, sell 7 days after | +0.60% | 57% | 100 ex-dates |
Quick Capture Buy 7 days before ex-date, sell 1 day after | +0.50% | 53% | 100 ex-dates |
* Returns include dividend capture yield plus price change. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
RVTY’s upcoming $0.07 dividend on a $96.75 share price produces a very low 0.29% forward yield, and quality metrics (40/100, Tier 3) make it unattractive as a long-term dividend holding. For a short-term dividend capture, the Classic Capture strategy (buy 1 day before ex-date, sell 7 days after) offers a modest expected return of 0.54% with a 61% historical win rate but sits firmly in the medium-opportunity, medium-confidence bucket.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.