Werner Enterprises, Inc. (WERN)
Dividend Opportunity — Ex-Date Monday, January 5, 2026
Ex-date passed
Ex-Date
Jan 5, 2026
Dividend
$0.1400
Forward Yield
1.83%
Payment Date
Jan 21, 2026
Opportunity Scores
Tier 3Low Confidence
Capture Score
35Long-Term Score
15Quality
15Opportunity Rank
64Capture Playbook
Strategy for dividend capture trade
Only -102 days until ex-date
Trade Timeline
Entry
Sun, Jan 4
Target entry on the trading day immediately before the 2026-01-05 ex-dividend date (i.e., 1 day pre ex-date) to qualify for the $0.14 dividend while aligning with the historically strongest capture setup.
Ex-Date
Mon, Jan 5
Dividend locked in
Exit
Mon, Jan 19
Plan to exit 14 days after the ex-dividend date, following the recommended 1d-before / 14d-after strategy, which historically delivered a 1.84% average return with a 62.3% win rate.
Expected Return
+1.84%
Historical Win Rate
62%
Risk Factors
- •Gap fill risk: 7-day and 14-day gap fill rates are both 0.0%, suggesting that past ex-dividend price drops have not consistently recovered to pre-ex levels in those windows, or data is incomplete.
- •Data quality concerns: 14-day ATR is reported as 0.00% and both 5-day and 20-day momentum slopes are 0.0000% per day, which is likely a data artifact rather than real zero volatility and flat momentum.
- •Low capture quality: Capture Score is only 37/100 and overall Confidence Level is LOW, so the indicated 1.84% expected return and 62.3% win rate may not be reliable.
- •Mixed historical stats: While the 1d buy / 14d sell strategy shows the best profile (1.84% avg return, 62.3% win rate), shorter holds like 1d buy / 1d sell only yield 0.38% with a modest 52.8% win rate, indicating the edge is not strong across all variants.
- •Stock quality backdrop: Overall Quality Score (25/100) and Long-Term Score (25/100) are weak, so adverse fundamental news around the dividend date could overwhelm the modest historical capture edge.
Action Checklist
- 1.Confirm current ex-dividend date (expected 2026-01-05) and dividend amount ($0.14) with your broker or company filings before trading.
- 2.Re-check latest fundamentals (earnings trend, payout sustainability, leverage) since the Quality and Long-Term Scores are low (both 25/100).
- 3.If pursuing capture, set a planned entry 1 trading day before ex-dividend date, monitoring intraday price action and liquidity.
- 4.Size the position conservatively given LOW Confidence Level, weak Capture Score (37/100), and questionable ATR/momentum data.
- 5.Place a time-based exit plan to close the trade around 14 days after ex-dividend date, unless price action or news materially changes the risk/reward.
- 6.Use stop-loss or mental loss limits to prevent a modest expected capture gain from turning into a large loss if the stock sells off.
- 7.After the trade, review actual performance versus the expected 1.84% return and 62.3% win rate to calibrate future use of this strategy on $WERN.
Scenario Analysis
| Strategy | Avg Return | Win Rate | Historical Events |
|---|---|---|---|
14-Day HoldBest Buy 1 day before ex-date, sell 14 days after | +1.84% | 62% | 106 ex-dates |
Quick Capture Buy 7 days before ex-date, sell 1 day after | +0.64% | 59% | 106 ex-dates |
Classic Capture Buy 1 day before ex-date, sell 7 days after | +1.03% | 58% | 106 ex-dates |
Same-Day Buy 1 day before ex-date, sell 1 day after | +0.38% | 53% | 106 ex-dates |
Buy 14D, Sell 7D After Buy 14 days before ex-date, sell 7 days after | +0.53% | 49% | 106 ex-dates |
* Returns include dividend capture yield plus price change. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Analysis Summary
Werner Enterprises ($WERN) offers a modest 1.83% forward yield and scores poorly on long-term quality (25/100, Tier 3), making it unattractive as a core dividend holding. For dividend capture, the best historical setup is buying 1 day before ex-date and selling 14 days after, with a 1.84% average return and 62.3% win rate, but LOW confidence, weak capture score, and questionable volatility data argue for only cautious, tactical use if traded at all.
Historical Capture Performance
Based on past dividend events for WERN
Avg Capture Yield
0.65%
Avg Recovery Days
0.0
7-Day Gap Fill
0%
14-Day Gap Fill
0%
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.