Wolverine World Wide, Inc. (WWW)
Dividend Opportunity — Ex-Date Friday, January 2, 2026
Trade Timeline
Risk Factors
- •Low capture metrics: Capture Score is only 35/100 and 7-day/14-day Gap Fill Rates are both 0.0%, suggesting the typical dividend drop is not reliably retraced in the short term.
- •Mixed historical performance: The recommended Buy 7d / Sell 1d strategy shows an Avg Return of 1.04% with a 57.0% win rate over 100 samples, which is only modestly better than a coin flip and sensitive to outliers.
- •Minimal volatility data: 14-day ATR is reported as 0.00%, which is likely a data artifact and makes true risk estimation difficult; real price swings may be materially higher than implied.
- •Weak near-term momentum: 5-day and 20-day momentum slopes are both 0.0000% per day, offering no supportive trend tailwind into the ex-date.
- •Dividend is small relative to price: The $0.10 dividend on a $17.94 stock (~0.56% of price) limits the absolute capture upside and can be offset by relatively small adverse price moves.
- •Low overall confidence: The system’s overall Confidence Level is LOW, so all historical and model-based expectations (including the 1.04% expected return) should be treated as fragile.
Action Checklist
- 1.Confirm updated fundamentals for $WWW (earnings, cash flow, debt, and any recent dividend policy changes) before committing to either long-term or capture strategies.
- 2.For long-term income portfolios, compare WWW’s 2.23% yield and Tier 3, 40/100 quality score against higher-quality alternatives and consider skipping WWW unless you have a strong fundamental thesis.
- 3.If pursuing the Quick Capture strategy, schedule a potential entry about 7 trading days before the 2026-01-02 ex-dividend date, monitoring intraday liquidity and spreads.
- 4.Define a strict exit plan to sell roughly 1 trading day after the ex-date, and pre-set stop-loss or maximum loss thresholds given the modest $0.10 dividend relative to price.
- 5.Size the position conservatively, reflecting the LOW Confidence Level, 35/100 Capture Score, 0.0% gap fill rates, and potential underestimation of volatility.
- 6.Monitor price behavior around the ex-dividend date; be prepared to exit early if adverse moves exceed the expected 1.04% capture upside or if liquidity deteriorates.
| Strategy | Avg Return | Win Rate | Historical Events |
|---|---|---|---|
Quick CaptureBest Buy 7 days before ex-date, sell 1 day after | +1.04% | 57% | 100 ex-dates |
Same-Day Buy 1 day before ex-date, sell 1 day after | +0.44% | 56% | 100 ex-dates |
Classic Capture Buy 1 day before ex-date, sell 7 days after | -0.10% | 54% | 100 ex-dates |
Buy 14D, Sell 7D After Buy 14 days before ex-date, sell 7 days after | +0.18% | 54% | 100 ex-dates |
14-Day Hold Buy 1 day before ex-date, sell 14 days after | +0.43% | 52% | 100 ex-dates |
* Returns include dividend capture yield plus price change. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Wolverine World Wide ($WWW) offers a modest 2.23% forward yield with a $0.10 dividend, but sits in Tier 3 quality with a 40/100 Long-Term Score and LOW confidence, making it weak for long-term dividend investing. The preferred Quick Capture setup (buy 7 days before ex-date, sell 1 day after) shows a 1.04% average return and 57% win rate, yet low capture scores, zero observed gap fills, and questionable volatility data point to a marginal and higher-uncertainty capture trade.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.